[RMR18] Model-based prognosis of fatigue crack growth under variable amplitude loading
Conférence Internationale avec comité de lecture :
10th IFAC Symposium on Fault Detection, Supervision and Safety for Technical Processes,
August 2018,
pp..,
Warsaw,
Poland,
Mots clés: Model-based prognosis ; unknown inputs estimation ; particle filter ; uncertainty propagation ; fatigue crack growth ; composite materials
Résumé:
In this paper, a model-based prognosis method using a particle filter that takes
model uncertainty, measurement uncertainty and future loading uncertainty into account is
proposed. A nonlinear analytical model of the degradation that depends on loading parameters
is established, and then a particle filter is used to estimate and forecast these unknown inputs at
the same time as the degradation state. Moreover, adding to this joint input-state estimation,
a two-sided CUSUM algorithm is implemented to detect load variations. This would help the
prognosis module to adapt to a change in the degradation state evolution, in order to correct the
remaining useful life prediction. Real data from fatigue tests on fiber-reinforced metal matrix
composite materials are used to demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed methodology for
crack growth prognosis.