[Sap16] Predictive versus Generative Modelling: a Challenge for (Social) Sciences
Conférences invitées :
DSSR,
February 2016,
pp.xx,
Naples,
Italie,
Mots clés: black-box models, data science, inference, machine learning
Résumé:
Classical inference corresponds to the role of statistics as an auxiliary of sciences. However in most sciences, a good model should also provides accurate predictions, which becomes the sole criterium in decision sciences like pattern recognition, customer behaviour, etc. The most efficient predictive models are rather black-box algorithms like random forests or deep learning.
The use of black-box models fitted for massive data is probably the main challenge for social sciences due to their lack of interpretability. Getting better predictions, thanks to a better understanding of the real world, needs to combine statistics and machine learning with causal inference.
Commentaires:
Data Science & Social Research Conference University of Napoli Federico II , February 17-19, 2016